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| Close | 16.96 (-2.25% on the day; -9.93% over 5 sessions; -9.88% over 20 sessions) |
|---|---|
| Market cap | CNY 4.76 billion |
| P/E (TTM) | 57.25x (28th percentile over 5.2 years) |
| P/B (MRQ) | 3.17x (3th percentile over 5.2 years) |
| P/S (TTM) | 5.94x (4th percentile over 5.2 years) |
| 52-week range | 13.29 (2026-07-21) – 34.94 (2026-01-13) |
| Moving averages | MA5 17.56 / MA10 18.12 / MA20 18.61 / MA60 17.23 |
| MACD (12,26,9) | DIF -0.155, DEA 0.15, histogram -0.609 |
| RSI | RSI6 32.1 / RSI14 42 |
| Bollinger bands (20,2) | Upper 20.68 / middle 18.61 / lower 16.53 |
| Volume | 0.57x the 20-day average |
| One-week range (about 68% coverage) | 15.56 – 18.35 (-8.3% ~ +8.2%) |
| One-week range (about 95% coverage) | 13.8 – 22.45 (-18.6% ~ +32.4%) |
As of the 2026-09-30 close; calculated from daily price data (adjusted prices) and refreshed automatically each trading day. The one-week range reflects historical volatility only and is not a forecast. The report below was written on 2026-09-13; its prices and short-term scenarios reflect data at that time.
Guangzhou Guangha Communication Co., Ltd. (300711)
Equity Research Report | Industry: Communication Equipment Manufacturing, Command-and-Control Communication Products Manufacturing | Report Date: September 13, 2026 | As of the September 11, 2026 close; some market-data pages are delayed, and actual trading data shall be subject to exchange data
This report was automatically compiled by AI based on publicly available information and is for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice.
1. Executive Summary
Guangha Communication's revenue in the first half of 2026 increased 29.58% year on year to RMB 251.65 million, while net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company declined 52.11% year on year to RMB 11.7033 million. Net profit attributable to shareholders excluding non-recurring items was RMB 9.8688 million, up 69.05% year on year, while net cash flow from operating activities was negative RMB 65.2522 million. The company currently exhibits a combination of revenue expansion, improving non-recurring core profitability, and pressure on attributable net profit. Whether full-year results can be delivered will continue to depend on revenue recognition, project acceptance, and profit release in the second half.
In 2025, the company generated revenue of RMB 743 million and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 95.8136 million. Revenue increased 36.68% year on year, with the main businesses still concentrated in reliable communication networks, power dispatching, and national-defense command and control. Power-related revenue accounted for approximately 65.5% in 2025, national-defense revenue approximately 31.0%, domestic revenue 99.99%, and direct sales 92.96%. Leveraging military-industry qualifications, qualifications for dedicated power communication equipment, railway CRCC certification, and industry project experience, the company has established certain entry barriers in key industries, although its business regions and customer-industry concentration remain relatively high.
Through acquisitions and fund-raising projects involving Saikang Intelligent and other entities, the company is extending into intelligent inspection of power-transmission and substation equipment, digital-intelligent command systems, and next-generation intelligent dispatching systems. Fund-raising projects from the 2026 private placement continued to progress in the first half of 2026. At the end of June, the fund-raising balance was approximately RMB 707 million, including approximately RMB 450 million held in structured deposits and approximately RMB 66 million in time deposits. The company also plans to use raised funds to increase the capital of its wholly owned subsidiary Guangyou Communication by RMB 50 million. However, the subsidiary recorded net profit of negative RMB 6.9216 million in the first half of 2026, and the effectiveness of related project investment and new-business integration remains to be observed.
As of September 11, 2026, the company's share price was RMB 21.13, representing a significant rebound from the July low of RMB 13.29. Short-term moving averages were in a bullish alignment and MACD was in positive territory. However, the share price had approached the RMB 21.20–21.50 resistance zone and was near the self-calculated upper Bollinger Band. The P/E ratio was approximately 71.32x and the P/E ratio excluding non-recurring items approximately 76.11x, indicating that valuation already reflects relatively high market expectations for new-business expansion and future profit growth. Trading value and turnover had expanded significantly, with short-term market attention and volatility rising together.
2. Company Overview
2.1 Basic Information
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Stock code | 300711 |
| Stock abbreviation | Guangha Communication |
| Listing date | November 1, 2017 |
| Actual controller | State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the Guangzhou Municipal People's Government |
| Controlling shareholder and ownership | Guangzhou Digital Technology Group Co., Ltd.; ownership was 66.33% as of June 30, 2025 |
| Ownership nature | State-controlled |
| Core positioning | Provider of integrated intelligent command-and-control solutions, with core customers concentrated in power, national defense, railways, emergency response, energy, and other industries with high requirements for communication reliability, security, and real-time performance |
| 2025 revenue | RMB 743 million, up 36.68% year on year |
| 2025 domestic/overseas revenue mix | Domestic revenue accounted for 99.99%; overseas revenue accounted for 0.01% |
| 2025 sales model | Direct sales revenue of RMB 691 million, accounting for 92.96%; distributor revenue of RMB 52 million, accounting for 7.04% |
| Capacity and production/sales | In 2025, capacity for complete command-and-control systems was 2,800 sets, output was 2,776 sets, sales were 2,630 sets, and ending inventory was 553 sets; capacity utilization was approximately 99.1% based on output, and the production-to-sales ratio was approximately 94.7% |
| Resources and qualifications | More than 30 years of accumulated command-and-control communication technology; military-industry qualifications, qualifications for dedicated power communication equipment, railway CRCC certification, and other industry qualifications or certifications. The company website discloses more than 580 independently owned intellectual-property rights, including nearly 100 invention patents and more than 360 computer software copyrights; the relevant website data were not cross-checked item by item against the annual-report appendices in this research |
2.2 Core Businesses and Product Portfolio
- Reliable communication networks: including program-controlled switching, soft switching, IMS, 5G core networks, gateways, dispatching terminals, and audio/video communication applications; 2025 revenue was RMB 485 million, accounting for 65.25%.
- Broad command-and-control systems: using ICT, big data, artificial intelligence, and other technologies to provide customized command-and-control systems for the power, national-defense, railway, and emergency-response industries; 2025 revenue was RMB 138 million, accounting for 18.54%.
- Digital-intelligent services: including planning and design, software implementation, operation and maintenance, intelligent monitoring, condition assessment, image recognition, and power-equipment inspection; 2025 revenue was RMB 120 million, accounting for 16.21%.
- By business nature, equipment-manufacturing revenue in 2025 was RMB 523 million, accounting for 70.40%; technical-service revenue was RMB 220 million, accounting for 29.60%.
- By downstream industry, power-related revenue in 2025 was RMB 487 million, accounting for approximately 65.5%, with a gross margin of 55.64%; national-defense revenue was RMB 231 million, accounting for approximately 31.0%, with a gross margin of 54.22%; revenue from other industries was RMB 26 million, accounting for approximately 3.5%, with a gross margin of 42.96%.
- Through the acquisition of Beijing Yiyong Shidian, the company entered the fields of digitalization of pumped-storage power stations, engineering project management, and intelligent construction. Through the acquisition of a 51% stake in Sichuan Saikang Intelligent, it entered businesses including X-ray intelligent inspection of power-transmission and substation equipment, power-equipment condition assessment, infrared temperature measurement, and explosion-proof cable boxes.
2.3 Position in the Upstream and Downstream Value Chain and Cost/Profit Structure
Guangha Communication operates in a relatively high-value-added segment in the middle of the command-and-control communications value chain. It is a “communication-equipment and software-platform integrator plus industry-solution service provider.” The company is neither an upstream chip or basic communication-component producer nor a consumer-electronics company relying on end-product brand premiums. Its value primarily comes from communication equipment, system integration, customized industry solutions, and digital-intelligent technical services.
- Major procurement items include integrated chips, capacitors, resistors, crystal oscillators, LCD screens, printed circuit boards, and communication equipment and components such as transceivers, switches, antennas, combiners, and splitters. The company also purchases externally sourced communication equipment and software-design services, while outsourcing non-core processes such as sheet-metal fabrication and PCB processing.
- In 2025, material costs in the reliable communication network business were RMB 191 million, accounting for 56.93% of that business's operating costs; direct labor accounted for 3.41%, and manufacturing overhead for 3.08%. The high proportion of materials indicates that business costs are primarily affected by electronic components, externally sourced equipment, and related materials.
- The company generally prepares rolling procurement plans based on sales orders and market forecasts for the following three months. It retains core activities such as product finalization, tooling design, product assembly, software loading, and testing, while mainly outsourcing non-core processes such as PCB and sheet-metal processing.
- The research materials did not disclose upstream supplier concentration. The company generally has limited pricing power over standard electronic components and relies more on product design, system integration, industry certifications, and customization capabilities to generate value.
- Major customers include State Grid, China Southern Power Grid and their subsidiaries, central state-owned power-generation groups and local energy groups, military and national-defense-related customers, railway bureaus and urban rail-transit customers, government emergency-management departments, and energy customers in oil, petrochemicals, coal, and nuclear power.
- In 2025, revenue was mainly generated from the power and national-defense industries, with power-related revenue accounting for approximately 65.5% and national-defense revenue approximately 31.0%; domestic revenue accounted for 99.99% and overseas revenue 0.01%.
- The main sections of the 2025 annual report reviewed for this research did not disclose the combined sales proportion of the five largest customers. Therefore, the latest customer concentration cannot be calculated reliably. The data should be based on the “five largest customers” note in the 2025 annual report or subsequent company announcements; a single third-party database was not used as a substitute.
- Power customers generally have strong purchasing scale and technical standard-setting capabilities. Suppliers must rely on network-access qualifications, historical operating records, project experience, and ongoing service capabilities to maintain orders. The national-defense market has military-industry qualifications and supplier-admission barriers, but order timing, acceptance procedures, and policy changes may cause revenue volatility. The railway market requires CRCC certification.
- Downstream procurement features project-based and customized orders, tendering, acceptance, and long-term operations and maintenance. The company mainly serves end customers or final projects; direct sales accounted for 92.96% of revenue in 2025, while distributor sales accounted for 7.04%.
- The company's business generally involves solution design, production, installation, commissioning, acceptance, and collection, creating potential occupation of accounts receivable and contract assets. The 2025 annual report stated that the company manages credit risk relating to customer credit periods, accounts receivable, and contract assets, and establishes and adjusts credit policies based on customer credit status. However, the annual-report text extracted for this research did not provide complete data for calculating receivables turnover days, accounts receivable as a proportion of revenue or net profit, or the proportion of accounts receivable attributable to the five largest customers. Accordingly, no strong conclusion can be drawn regarding the company's bargaining power over working capital. The disclosed direct-sales ratio of 92.96% is a relevant signal: the company can directly capture customer requirements and project customization needs, but must also assume greater responsibility for project delivery, acceptance, and collection management.
- Customer concentration: the main sections of the 2025 annual report did not disclose the combined sales proportion of the five largest customers. The data are missing, so the latest concentration cannot be calculated reliably. The company website's disclosures that it “serves more than 60 pumped-storage power stations” and “serves more than 400 local bureaus under State Grid and China Southern Power Grid” are company-disclosed figures that were not cross-checked item by item in this research. Specific customer concentration should be based on the latest annual report.
| Year | Gross margin | Net margin | Brief explanation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Approximately 53.28% | Approximately 12.64% | Gross margin was at a mid-range level. The business remained primarily focused on traditional command-and-control communication equipment, with materials costs and product mix jointly affecting profitability; the data were mainly based on a third-party financial database and were not directly extracted from the original annual-report tables in this research. |
| 2022 | Approximately 57.83% | Approximately 12.73% | An increased proportion of high-gross-margin multimedia command-and-control systems in the national-defense industry drove an improvement in the gross margin of related businesses. |
| 2023 | Approximately 49.75% | Approximately 13.58% | Certain subsidiaries shifted from standalone products toward integrated solutions. As the proportion of integrated-solution revenue increased, project implementation and system-integration activities expanded, putting pressure on the gross margins of certain businesses. |
| 2024 | Approximately 52.25% | Approximately 14.05% | Reliable communication network revenue increased 25.76%, and the gross margin of this product was approximately 59.70%, driving a recovery in consolidated gross margin. Digital-intelligent service revenue grew rapidly but had a gross margin of approximately 30.71%, dragging on the consolidated margin. |
| 2025 | Approximately 54.76%–54.77% | Approximately 16.69% | The reliable communication network and broad command-and-control system businesses expanded, while technical services and intelligent-inspection businesses accounted for a larger share of digital-intelligent services. The gross margin of digital-intelligent services was 59.05%, but part of the improvement came from the consolidation of Saikang Intelligent and product-mix changes; it should not simply be interpreted as a comprehensive improvement in the profitability of the original communication-equipment business. |
The company operates in a relatively high-value-added segment in the middle of the command-and-control communications value chain. Overall, it is neither a high-margin upstream resource business nor a downstream company with consumer-end brand premiums. The company lacks absolute control over the procurement prices of standard electronic components, but can obtain gross margins above those of ordinary communication-equipment assembly businesses through industry qualifications, system reliability, hardware-software integration, customization capabilities, and long-term customer relationships. Future margin improvement will primarily depend on a higher contribution from high-margin software and technical services, integration of digital-intelligent inspection and operations businesses, and scaled implementation of AI, cloud-native IMS, and intelligent industry-dispatching products. Profitability will also be affected by cost control, project delivery, acceptance, and collection management.
3. Financial Data and Valuation Analysis
3.1 Recent Operating Results
| Reporting period | Revenue | Year-on-year change | Net profit attributable to shareholders | Year-on-year change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First half of 2026 | RMB 251.65 million | Up 29.58% year on year | Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company: RMB 11.7033 million | Down 52.11% year on year |
| Full year 2025 | RMB 743.01 million | Up 36.68% year on year | Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company: RMB 95.8136 million | Up approximately 29.70% year on year |
The 2026 interim report was disclosed on August 21, 2026; the 2025 annual report was disclosed on March 27, 2026. In the first half of 2026, net profit attributable to shareholders excluding non-recurring items was RMB 9.8688 million, up 69.05% year on year; full-year 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders excluding non-recurring items was approximately RMB 83.04 million. Basic EPS in the first half of 2026 was RMB 0.0442, down 54.94% year on year; full-year 2025 basic EPS was approximately RMB 0.38.
The first half of 2026 showed a divergence between revenue growth and a decline in attributable net profit, while net profit attributable to shareholders excluding non-recurring items increased 69.05% year on year, indicating a possible improvement in core profitability. Attributable net profit was affected by the relatively high base of non-recurring gains in the same period of the previous year, increased R&D and operating investment, minority interests, and the enlarged share capital following the private placement. In 2025, both revenue and profit reached record highs, mainly driven by the consolidation of Saikang Intelligent and the expansion of broad command-and-control and digital-intelligent service businesses. Net cash flow from operating activities in the first half of 2026 was negative RMB 65.2522 million, remaining a net outflow; weighted average return on equity was 1.00%. At the end of June 2026, net assets attributable to shareholders of the listed company were RMB 1.501 billion, up 87.46% from the end of 2025; total assets were RMB 2.058 billion, up 36.52% from the end of 2025.
3.2 Earnings Forecasts
Analyst coverage is limited and does not represent a market consensus. The Southwest Securities research report was dated August 19, 2025, and projected 2026 and 2027 revenue growth of approximately 27.43% and 31.63%, respectively. The Huajin Securities research report was dated April 5, 2024. Both forecasts predated the 2026 interim report and may require reassessment. The Huajin Securities forecast is older, and its 2024 and 2025 actual figures differ from the forecast basis; its reference value is lower than that of the Southwest Securities forecast.
| Year | Revenue | Net profit attributable to shareholders | Net profit growth | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 (Southwest Securities) | RMB 689.93 million | RMB 91.94 million | Not provided | RMB 0.37 |
| 2026 (Southwest Securities) | RMB 879.17 million | RMB 117.43 million | Attributable net profit up approximately 27.73% year on year | RMB 0.47 |
| 2027 (Southwest Securities) | RMB 1.15725 billion | RMB 157.39 million | Attributable net profit up approximately 34.03% year on year | RMB 0.63 |
| 2024 (Huajin Securities) | RMB 600 million | RMB 85 million | Not provided | RMB 0.34 |
| 2025 (Huajin Securities) | RMB 810 million | RMB 102 million | Not provided | RMB 0.41 |
| 2026 (Huajin Securities) | RMB 1.101 billion | RMB 139 million | Not provided | RMB 0.56 |
3.3 Valuation and Institutional Ratings
| Institution | Rating | Date | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Securities | Hold | August 19, 2025 | Forecast EPS of RMB 0.37, RMB 0.47, and RMB 0.63 for 2025–2027, respectively; no explicit target price was provided, and the target-price field was marked “— yuan.” |
| Huajin Securities | Outperform-B | April 5, 2024 | No clear and still-current target price was found in publicly available research summaries or earnings-forecast pages. |
| Public institutional ratings | No new rating or current institutional rating unavailable | Early September 2026 to September 10, 2026 | Information from 10jqka indicated that no institution had issued a new rating during the most recent 60 trading days. No valid and explicit target price from a major brokerage as of September 10, 2026 was identified. |
Around September 9, 2026, the share price was approximately RMB 19.2–19.3, and total market capitalization approximately RMB 5.38–5.41 billion. Investing.com showed a latest trading price of approximately RMB 19.23 and market capitalization of approximately RMB 5.48 billion; the company's total share capital was approximately 280 million shares. Intraday data from CFi.cn as of September 9, 2026 showed a P/E ratio of approximately 64.88x, a P/E ratio excluding non-recurring items of approximately 69.23x, and a P/B ratio of approximately 3.33x. Lixinger showed a P/B ratio of approximately 3.60x. Overall, this can be described as a TTM P/E of approximately 65x, a P/E excluding non-recurring items of approximately 69x, and a P/B ratio of approximately 3.3–3.6x. Based on a share price of RMB 19.33, Southwest Securities' 2026 EPS forecast of RMB 0.47 implies a forward P/E of approximately 41.1x, while its 2027 EPS forecast of RMB 0.63 implies approximately 30.7x. Huajin Securities' 2026 EPS forecast of RMB 0.56 implies approximately 34.5x. Current valuation already incorporates relatively high expectations for new-business expansion, order conversion, and profit growth. As attributable net profit in the first half of 2026 was only RMB 11.7033 million, down 52.11% year on year, achieving the previous institutional forecasts of RMB 117.43–139 million in full-year 2026 attributable net profit will depend on strong profit release in the second half. Valuation realization will still depend on revenue recognition, project acceptance, improvement in new-business gross margins, and growth in attributable net profit. Share-price, P/B, and valuation data differ across platforms due to differences in update times and calculation methods; comparisons should use the same platform, date, and methodology.
4. Recent News and Announcements
4.1 Two Proposals at the First Extraordinary General Meeting of 2026 Approved by Large Margins
The company held its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026 on September 8, 2026, at which proposals to amend the Articles of Association and reappoint the accounting firm were approved. The proposal to amend the Articles of Association received 180,094,684 affirmative votes, representing 99.9090% of valid voting rights. The proposal to reappoint the accounting firm received 180,124,884 affirmative votes, representing 99.9258% of valid voting rights. A total of 178 shareholders and shareholder proxies participated in on-site and online voting, representing 180,258,684 shares, or 64.2786% of the company's total voting shares. No proposal was rejected, and there was no change in the controlling shareholder or actual controller. Source: Announcement on the Resolutions of the First Extraordinary General Meeting of 2026.
4.2 CITIC Securities Disclosed a 2026 Interim Follow-up Report
CITIC Securities disclosed a 2026 interim follow-up report on Guangha Communication on September 8, 2026. The report stated that the company's information disclosure was timely and that no major information-disclosure issues had been identified. One on-site inspection was conducted in the first half of 2026, with no major rectification issues identified. The progress of the fund-raising projects was consistent with the disclosed documents. No change in the controlling shareholder or actual controller was identified, and no major issues were found regarding the deposit or use of raised funds, related-party transactions, external guarantees, purchases or sales of assets, or external investments. The sponsor did not report any matter requiring special attention to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
4.3 Company Plans to Increase Capital of Wholly Owned Subsidiary by RMB 50 Million Using Raised Funds
On August 21, 2026, the company disclosed plans to use RMB 50 million of raised funds to increase the capital of its wholly owned subsidiary Guangzhou Guangyou Communication Equipment Co., Ltd. for implementation of a fund-raising project. Guangyou Communication remains a wholly owned subsidiary. The transaction does not constitute a related-party transaction or a material asset restructuring and does not require shareholder approval. The company issued 31,263,026 shares to specific investors at an issue price of RMB 23.99 per share, raising total proceeds of RMB 750 million and net proceeds of RMB 744.55 million after issuance expenses. The new shares were listed on March 30, 2026. Guangyou Communication generated revenue of approximately RMB 41.8251 million and net profit of negative RMB 6.9216 million in the first half of 2026; in full-year 2025, it generated revenue of approximately RMB 231.99 million and net profit of approximately RMB 25.2279 million.
4.4 Fund-Raising Projects and Use of Raised Funds
The company's fund-raising projects include: the Next-Generation Intelligent Dispatching System Construction Project, with approximately RMB 304.01 million in raised funds allocated; the Digital-Intelligent Command System Upgrade and Construction Project, with approximately RMB 244.02 million allocated; and the Intelligent Core Technology Research Project for Dispatching and Command Systems, with approximately RMB 196.51 million allocated. The Digital-Intelligent Command System Upgrade and Construction Project is jointly implemented by the company and Guangyou Communication, with Guangyou Communication's total construction investment amounting to RMB 165.16 million. As of June 30, 2026, net raised funds were approximately RMB 744.55 million. Approximately RMB 37.2323 million was used in the first half of 2026, leaving a balance of approximately RMB 707.41 million. Approximately RMB 450 million was held in structured deposits and approximately RMB 66 million in time deposits.
4.5 2026 Interim Report: Revenue Growth but Decline in Attributable Net Profit
The company disclosed its 2026 interim report on August 21, 2026. Revenue in the first half of 2026 was RMB 251.65 million, up 29.58% year on year. Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was RMB 11.7033 million, down 52.11% year on year. Net profit excluding non-recurring items was RMB 9.8688 million, up 69.05% year on year. Net cash flow from operating activities was negative RMB 65.2522 million, and basic EPS was RMB 0.0442. Period-end total assets were RMB 2.05818 billion, up 36.52% from the end of the previous year. Net assets attributable to shareholders of the listed company were RMB 1.50085 billion, up 87.46% from the end of the previous year. The company attributed the decline in profit to factors including dilution of the share capital following the private placement, business mix, and expense investment. No cash dividend, bonus issue, or capitalization of capital reserves was planned for the 2026 interim period.
4.6 2025 Earnings Preannouncement and 2026 First-Three-Quarter Earnings Information
The company's most recent earnings preannouncement was the 2025 earnings preannouncement, issued on January 22, 2026, on a voluntary basis. Full-year 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was expected to be RMB 90–97 million, representing year-on-year growth of 21.83%–31.31%. Net profit excluding non-recurring items was expected to be RMB 70–77 million, representing year-on-year growth of 1.15%–11.27%. The company stated that earnings growth was mainly attributable to market expansion, revenue growth, and improved operating efficiency, while the national-defense business faced temporary pressure and the company increased investment in emerging businesses. As of September 13, 2026, no earnings preannouncement or earnings flash report for the first three quarters of 2026 had been identified.
4.7 No New Share Repurchase Plan Identified Recently
The 2026 interim report disclosed that the company had not implemented any share repurchase during the reporting period and had not reduced repurchased shares through centralized competitive bidding. Based on a review of announcements from August to September 2026, no newly disclosed repurchase plan or repurchase-progress announcement was identified.
4.8 Changes in the Top 10 Tradable Shareholders as of June 30, 2026
As of June 30, 2026, the company had 21,178 ordinary-shareholders, down 3,708 from March 31, 2026, or approximately 14.90% sequentially. Goldman Sachs International—Own Funds newly entered the top 10 tradable shareholders, holding approximately 696,500 shares, or approximately 0.28% of tradable shares. Northbound funds reduced their holdings by approximately 40.4% from the previous reporting period to approximately 1.6336 million shares. Wang Zhaofeng reduced his holdings by approximately 19.5% to approximately 612,600 shares. Western Lead Specialized and Innovative Quantitative Selection Hybrid A increased its holdings, while certain shareholders including Broad Growth Zhihang Equity A exited the top 10 tradable shareholders. These changes came from periodic-report disclosures of shareholder holdings and do not constitute disclosed centralized competitive-bidding reduction plans.
4.9 Private-Placement Lock-Up Shares Expected to Become Tradable on September 30, 2026
The 31,263,026 shares issued by the company to specific investors in 2025 at an issue price of RMB 23.99 per share were listed on March 30, 2026 and are expected to become tradable on September 30, 2026. The expected number of shares released from lock-up is 31,263,026, representing approximately 11.15% of total share capital. Major shareholders subject to lock-up include National Military-Civilian Integration Industry Investment Fund II Co., Ltd., holding 13,172,155 shares; Caitong Fund Management Co., Ltd., holding 5,160,483 shares; Nuode Fund Management Co., Ltd., holding 3,476,448 shares; Huatai Asset Management Co., Ltd., holding 2,876,198 shares; and Jiangxi Jinlu Technology Investment Co., Ltd., holding 2,000,833 shares. The actual number of shares available for trading remains subject to final disclosures by the company, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, and China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited.
4.10 No New Material Acquisition, Restructuring, or Major Regulatory Matter Identified Recently
As of September 13, 2026, no new material acquisition, asset disposal, or material asset restructuring disclosed by the company during August–September 2026 was identified. The company's previously disclosed acquisition of a 51% stake in Sichuan Saikang Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd., involving a transaction amount of approximately RMB 244.8 million, was an earlier disclosed matter and not a new announcement during August–September 2026. No major regulatory penalty, disciplinary action, or material inquiry letter involving the company was identified during the same period.
5. Share-Price Performance and Technical Analysis
5.1 Price Overview
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Closing price | RMB 21.13 |
| Daily change | Up RMB 1.04, or 5.18% |
| Opening price | RMB 19.57 |
| High | RMB 21.21 |
| Low | RMB 19.40 |
| Trading volume | Approximately 21.4658 million shares |
| Trading value | Approximately RMB 443.18 million |
| Turnover | 8.64% |
| Volume ratio | Approximately 1.56–1.64; slight differences exist across market-data sources |
| Total share capital | Approximately 280 million shares |
| Total market capitalization | Approximately RMB 5.916 billion |
| P/E ratio | Approximately 71.32x; approximately 76.11x excluding non-recurring items |
| P/B ratio | Approximately 3.66x |
| 52-week high/low | RMB 35.14/RMB 13.29; current price approximately 39.9% below the high and 59.1% above the low |
5.2 Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Brief interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Trend | The share price rebounded from the intraday low of approximately RMB 13.29 on July 21, 2026, to RMB 21.13 at the September 11, 2026 close | The medium-term trend has clearly moved away from the July low and formed a significant rebound. In the short term, the price is approaching the RMB 21.20–21.50 prior-high resistance zone, with increased volatility and profit-taking pressure |
| MA5/MA10/MA20 | Approximately RMB 19.57/RMB 19.02/RMB 18.61 | As of September 11, the closing price was above these moving averages, and MA5 > MA10 > MA20, indicating a bullish short-term moving-average alignment. Differences exist across market-data sources due to adjustment methods and calculation times |
| Cross-reference moving averages | As of September 10, 2026: MA5 approximately RMB 19.89, MA10 RMB 19.62, MA20 RMB 19.27, MA50 RMB 18.83, MA100 RMB 18.45, and MA200 RMB 17.33 | The moving averages were generally below the RMB 21.13 closing price, indicating that the price remained relatively strong. This set of figures is for technical reference only and is not a fully consistent official statistical series |
| MACD (12,26) | Approximately 0.29 as of September 10, 2026; the page signal was “buy,” and the MACD histogram was positive | Short-term momentum was relatively strong. However, after consecutive gains, it is necessary to monitor whether the red bars continue expanding and whether a divergence emerges in which the price reaches new highs while MACD momentum weakens |
| RSI (14) | 64.075 as of September 10, 2026; a reliable update as of September 11 was unavailable | As of September 10, the indicator was strong but below the traditional overbought threshold of 70. The latest figure may have risen following the September 11 gain, but no unverified precise judgment is made |
| Bollinger Bands | Self-calculated: middle band approximately RMB 18.61, upper band approximately RMB 20.65–20.70, lower band approximately RMB 16.55–16.60 | The September 11 closing price of RMB 21.13 was near or above the self-calculated upper band, indicating short-term strength but a substantial deviation from the 20-day average. If trading volume cannot be maintained, a return toward the 20-day moving average is possible |
| Fund-flow indicators | As of September 11, 2026: DDX 0.164, DDY 0.772, DDZ 5.629, BBD approximately RMB 8.4205 million, large-order difference 3.2, medium-order difference 1.8, extra-large-order difference -1.3, small-order difference -3.7, order-count ratio 1.162, active rate approximately 8.643% | Third-party statistics on active buying and selling were generally positive, but the extra-large-order difference was negative, indicating that inflows were not driven entirely by very large orders. These indicators are not equivalent to main-force funds disclosed by an exchange and cannot confirm sustained institutional accumulation |
| Recent trading activity | From September 4 to September 7, trading value was approximately RMB 80–101 million and turnover approximately 1.78%–2.21%; from September 8 to September 11, trading value was approximately RMB 336–443 million and turnover approximately 6.89%–8.64% | Trading value and turnover recently increased significantly, indicating greater participation and faster share turnover. If trading value falls rapidly while prices rise, this may indicate insufficient chasing capital; high-volume stagnation near highs would warrant attention to widening divergence |
| Shareholder concentration | As of June 30, 2026, the top 10 shareholders held approximately 171.98 million shares, or approximately 69.01% of total share capital; the largest shareholder, Guangzhou Digital Technology Group Co., Ltd., held approximately 66.53% | High concentration mainly reflects the controlling shareholder rather than joint holdings by numerous public funds, social-security funds, or QFIIs. Hong Kong Securities Clearing Company held approximately 0.66%, Western Lead Specialized and Innovative Quantitative Selection Hybrid Fund approximately 0.29%, and Goldman Sachs International—Own Funds approximately 0.28%; holdings by any single public fund or QFII were relatively low. Shareholder data lag the latest market data by approximately two and a half months, so the structure may have changed |
As of September 11, 2026, Guangha Communication closed at RMB 21.13, representing a significant rebound from the 52-week low of RMB 13.29, though it remained below the 52-week high of RMB 35.14. The share price was above MA5, MA10, and MA20, with short-term moving averages in a bullish alignment. MACD was positive, and RSI(14) was 64.075 as of September 10. Overall, technical conditions were relatively strong. At the same time, the share price had approached the RMB 21.20–21.50 prior-high resistance zone and was near or above the self-calculated upper Bollinger Band. Short-term attention should focus on high-level consolidation, profit-taking, and price-volume coordination. Trading value and turnover from September 8 to September 11 were significantly higher than during September 4–7, indicating greater market attention. However, third-party fund-flow indicators were mixed, and a sustained primary uptrend cannot be confirmed solely by one-day capital flows.
5.3 Short-Term Outlook (Coming Week; Scenario Analysis for Reference Only)
⚠️ Risk warning: The following content is a subjective scenario analysis based on closing data as of September 11, 2026. It does not constitute investment advice or a definitive forecast of future prices.
① Key Technical Levels
| Level | Range | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Short-term resistance | RMB 21.20–21.50 | Corresponds to the September 11 intraday high of RMB 21.21 and the September 8 intraday high of RMB 21.48, and is also near the self-calculated upper Bollinger Band. A high-volume effective breakout could open room to test approximately RMB 22.00; repeated failure to hold the zone would warrant attention to a pullback |
| First support | RMB 20.00–20.20 | Corresponds to the short-term support area near RMB 20 and the September 10 closing price of RMB 20.09. If the price stabilizes in this range on declining volume after a pullback, the short-term bullish structure may remain intact; an effective breakdown would require monitoring support at RMB 19.40–19.70 |
| Strong support | RMB 19.40–19.70 | Corresponds to the September 11 intraday low of RMB 19.40 and the prior area of dense trading. An effective break below RMB 19.40 would materially weaken the short-term bullish structure, with a possible subsequent test of RMB 18.60–19.00 around the 20-day moving average and prior dense-trading zone |
② Scenarios for the Coming Week (Subjective Weights, Not Statistical Probabilities)
- High-level consolidation (relatively high subjective weight, approximately six-tenths; this is a heuristic judgment based on current technical and capital-market conditions, not a statistical probability): Reference range of RMB 19.70–21.50. Trigger conditions include support near RMB 20, trading value declining from the recent RMB 300–443 million range without a clear break below RMB 19.40, and divergent performance in communication-equipment or related-theme sectors. Under this scenario, the share price may oscillate repeatedly between RMB 20 and RMB 21.50 while awaiting volume or new news catalysts.
- Weak pullback (medium subjective weight; this is a heuristic judgment based on current technical and capital-market conditions, not a statistical probability): Reference range of RMB 18.60–20.00. Trigger conditions include a break below RMB 20 without a rapid recovery, a clear increase in one-day trading value while the close approaches the day's low, loss of support near RMB 19.40, or a clear retreat in communication, AI, or military-industry themes. If RMB 19.40 is effectively breached, the pullback risk around RMB 18.60–19.00 should be monitored.
- High-volume rebound and strengthening (low subjective weight but cannot be ruled out; this is a heuristic judgment based on current technical and capital-market conditions, not a statistical probability): Reference range of RMB 21.50–22.50. Trigger conditions include a high-volume breakout above RMB 21.50, one-day trading value remaining above RMB 400 million with the close near the daily high, DDX and BBD remaining positive consecutively, and simultaneous strength in communication equipment, 6G, intelligent command-and-control, and related themes. A breakout would be more conducive to an extension toward RMB 22.00–22.50 only if the price holds above the level for two consecutive trading days. An intraday breakout followed by a return below RMB 21 would be closer to a test of the upside than a confirmed breakout.
③ Capital and Liquidity Background
As of September 11, 2026, turnover was 8.64% and trading value RMB 443 million. Trading value over the most recent four trading days was approximately RMB 336–443 million, compared with only approximately RMB 80–101 million from September 4 to September 7. Recent high turnover and rising volume indicate greater market participation and faster circulation of tradable shares, but also imply wider short-term disagreement. Shareholder data show that as of June 30, 2026, the top 10 shareholders collectively held approximately 69.01%, including approximately 66.53% held by controlling shareholder Guangzhou Digital Technology Group Co., Ltd. Holdings by any single public fund or QFII were relatively low, and public information did not show a significant social-security-fund position. These shareholder data lag by approximately two and a half months and may not fully represent the latest distribution of shares in mid-September. In practical terms, when the number of tradable shares is relatively limited, the share price may be more sensitive to marginal capital. During periods of lower trading value, order-book support and execution slippage may be more affected by capital changes, but high concentration by itself does not equate to short-term upside.
Volume-confirmation signals that can be monitored: if one-day trading value remains above RMB 400 million consecutively during the coming week and the closing price remains stably above RMB 21.50, the breakout could be regarded as volume-confirmed. If trading value falls below RMB 200 million and the share price breaks below RMB 20, particular attention should be paid to whether short-term capital support is weakening.
④ Key Points to Monitor (Observation Framework Only, Not Trading Instructions)
- Observe whether the RMB 21.20–21.50 resistance zone can be effectively broken and held, rather than merely whether the price touches it intraday.
- Observe whether RMB 20.00–20.20 forms first support; if that support fails, continue monitoring the RMB 19.40–19.70 area.
- If RMB 19.40 is effectively breached, monitor pullback risk in the RMB 18.60–19.00 area.
- Observe whether one-day trading value can remain above RMB 400 million and whether the close remains strong when volume expands. The above are observation ideas only, not trading instructions.
The above scenario analysis is based on the September 11, 2026 closing data and calculations using historical prices and technical indicators. Short-term share prices will also be affected by news, capital flows, broader-market conditions, and other factors. Technical indicators have inherent lags and limitations. This analysis does not guarantee future performance or constitute a buy or sell recommendation. Investors should make independent judgments based on the latest market information and assume their own investment risks.
6. Industry Landscape and Competitor Analysis
6.1 Industry Conditions
The digital command-and-control system market is segmented by application areas including power, national defense, railways, energy, and emergency response. Guangha Communication mainly focuses on domestic power dispatching, national-defense command and control, railway dispatching communications, and related digital-intelligent services. According to Zhiyan Consulting data cited in the company's 2025 private-placement prospectus, China's digital command-and-control system market was approximately RMB 4.170 billion in 2024, up 5.84% year on year. This was third-party industry research data cited by the company and was not independently verified in this research.
6.2 Competitive Landscape
- The national-defense market has strict requirements for military-industry qualifications, supplier admission, and product certification. Entry barriers are high, and participation is concentrated among companies with relevant qualifications and long-term project experience.
- The railway market requires CRCC certification, and the number of competitors is smaller than in the general communication-equipment market. Railway dispatching communications are evolving toward multimedia, IP, and 5G-R, creating upgrade demand while also raising technical and certification requirements.
- The power, energy, and emergency-response markets have more participants and are relatively more market-oriented. Key competitive factors include industry project experience, system reliability and security, localization and independent controllability, cooperation records with large state-owned enterprise customers, product compatibility, secondary-development capabilities, and project delivery and long-term operations and maintenance.
- The company is highly dependent on the domestic market, which accounted for 99.99% of revenue in 2025. Its business is mainly directed toward key-industry customers in power and national defense, whose procurement typically features projects, tendering, acceptance, and long-term service.
6.3 Major Competitors
| Company | Positioning | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Jiaxun Feihong (300213) | Provides command-and-control systems, emergency communication systems, video surveillance, safety and disaster prevention, field operations management, and communication security monitoring products for railways, subways, national defense, energy, water conservancy, civil aviation, and other industries. | Compared with Guangha Communication, its product range is more diversified in railway, rail-transit, and integrated safety and disaster-prevention scenarios, with broader industry coverage. |
| Hytera (002583) | Provides professional wireless communications, dedicated communication products, and solutions for public security, emergency response, energy, transportation, industrial, and commercial customers. | Its product system is more focused on professional wireless, trunking, and global private-network communications, with a significantly larger overseas business. Guangha Communication is more focused on power dispatching, national-defense command and control, and domestic industry private networks. |
| Shanghai Hanxun (300762) | Engages in R&D, manufacturing, sales, and engineering implementation of industry broadband mobile communication equipment, providing broadband mobile communication system solutions to military and railway customers. | More focused on military broadband mobile communications and industry broadband wireless communications; Guangha Communication's traditional strengths lie in wired and integrated command-and-control, dispatching switching systems, and power dispatching communications. |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable? (600345) | Serves public-security, fire-protection, emergency-response, urban-operations, transportation, energy, and industrial-park customers, providing digital-intelligent solutions including sensing and early warning, incident reporting and acceptance, command and control, assisted decision-making, and analysis. | More focused on urban governance, emergency management, and integrated digital-intelligent applications; Guangha Communication has deeper experience in power dispatching communications, military communications, and railway dispatching communications. |
| Bangyan Technology (688132) | Focuses on national and defense informatization. Products include rich-media command-and-control systems, intelligent control systems, agile network control systems, ship communication control systems, data communication systems, and secure communication platforms. | More focused on defense informatization, military communications, and information security; Guangha Communication's business also covers key civilian industries including power, railways, and emergency response. |
Guangha Communication overlaps with the companies above but is not directly comparable on a fully homogeneous basis. Its relative advantages lie in qualifications, long-term operating experience, and hardware-software integration in key industries including power dispatching communications, national-defense command and control, and railway dispatching communications. Compared with Hytera, it has a weaker overseas and professional-wireless-communications profile. Compared with Jiaxun Feihong, its coverage of railway, rail transit, and integrated safety and disaster-prevention products is more concentrated. Compared with Shanghai Hanxun and Bangyan Technology, its business is not primarily focused on military broadband or defense informatization, but also covers power, railways, emergency response, and other industries. The five listed peers are broad comparable companies identified in the prospectus; their degree of business overlap varies, and their overall revenue or valuation cannot be compared mechanically.
7. Risk Factors
- Risk of earnings falling short of expectations: Revenue increased 29.58% year on year in the first half of 2026, but attributable net profit declined 52.11% year on year to RMB 11.7033 million. If revenue recognition, project acceptance, or expense control in the second half falls short of expectations, the full-year attributable-net-profit targets forecast by institutions may be difficult to achieve.
- Operating cash-flow and collection risk: The company's business has project-based characteristics involving solution design, production, installation, commissioning, acceptance, and collection. Net cash flow from operating activities was negative RMB 65.2522 million in the first half of 2026. With direct sales accounting for 92.96%, the company must assume significant responsibility for project delivery, acceptance, and accounts-receivable management.
- Industry and customer concentration risk: Power-related revenue accounted for approximately 65.5% and national-defense revenue approximately 31.0% in 2025, while domestic revenue accounted for 99.99%. Power customers have strong purchasing scale and technical standard-setting capabilities. National-defense orders may also be affected by order timing, acceptance procedures, and policy changes. Volatility in a single industry or the domestic market could affect the company's revenue.
- New-business integration and profitability uncertainty: The company entered intelligent inspection of power-transmission and substation equipment through Saikang Intelligent and is expanding digital-intelligent services. Meanwhile, Guangyou Communication recorded net profit of negative RMB 6.9216 million in the first half of 2026. Insufficient synergies among acquired businesses, subsidiaries, and the existing communication business could affect overall margins and investment efficiency.
- Fund-raising project implementation risk: Net proceeds from the fund-raising were approximately RMB 744.55 million, of which approximately RMB 37.2323 million had been used as of the end of June 2026, leaving a substantial amount of funds still on deposit. The next-generation intelligent dispatching system, digital-intelligent command-system upgrade, and core technology research projects remain exposed to risks that construction progress, market demand, technology implementation, and capacity absorption may fall short of expectations.
- Cost and gross-margin volatility: Materials accounted for 56.93% of operating costs in the reliable communication network business, and the company lacks absolute control over procurement prices for standard electronic components. If electronic components, externally sourced communication equipment, or project-implementation costs rise while product mix and pricing do not improve accordingly, profitability could be compressed.
- Valuation and share-price volatility: As of September 11, 2026, the company's P/E ratio was approximately 71.32x and P/E excluding non-recurring items approximately 76.11x. The share price had approached the RMB 21.20–21.50 resistance zone. If earnings delivery, order conversion, or new-business gross-margin improvement falls short of market expectations, the high valuation could intensify share-price declines and volatility.
- Lock-up expiration and share-supply volatility: The 31,263,026 shares issued in the private placement are expected to become tradable on September 30, 2026, representing approximately 11.15% of total share capital. The actual number of shares available for trading remains subject to final disclosure. The increase in tradable shares after the lock-up expires could create temporary supply pressure and price volatility.
8. Conclusion and Outlook
The company's medium- to long-term growth thesis primarily comes from sustained demand in highly reliable communication scenarios in power, national defense, railways, and other industries, as well as coordinated development across reliable communication networks, broad command-and-control systems, and digital-intelligent services. Revenue and profit reached record highs in 2025, while the gross margin of digital-intelligent services increased to 59.05%. The consolidation of Saikang Intelligent and expansion of intelligent-inspection businesses supported optimization of the revenue mix. The fund-raising projects focus on next-generation intelligent dispatching, digital-intelligent command-system upgrades, and intelligent core technology research.
Key areas to monitor include whether new businesses can generate sustainable revenue and profit contributions, operational improvement at Guangyou Communication and Saikang Intelligent, construction and fund-use efficiency of the fund-raising projects, and recovery of acceptance, collections, and operating cash flow in the project-based business. In the first half of 2026, net profit attributable to shareholders excluding non-recurring items increased while attributable net profit declined, indicating that profit performance remained affected by the base of non-recurring gains, expense investment, minority interests, and changes in share capital following the private placement.
The company currently trades at a relatively high valuation, while institutional earnings forecasts for 2026–2027 predate the 2026 interim report. Forecast achievement depends on strong earnings release in the second half. Although technical conditions remain relatively strong, resistance exists around RMB 21.20–21.50. If trading volume cannot be sustained or support levels fail, the share price may face considerable volatility. Accordingly, fundamental growth, earnings delivery, valuation digestion, and short-term capital-market trading will jointly determine future performance.
Data Sources
- List of ChiNext-Listed Companies on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange
- Product Center—Guangha Communication
- https://disc.static.szse.cn/disc/disk03/finalpage/2026-03-27/adb170c3-24e0-4f60-9453-1b0a1d20e6c5.PDF
- https://www.ghtchina.com/show_list.php?id=8&utm_source=openai
- https://static.cninfo.com.cn/finalpage/2025-10-17/1224717457.PDF
- Guangha Communication (300711)_Company Announcements_Guangha Communication: Announcement on the Resolutions of the First Extraordinary General Meeting of 2026_Sina Finance
- Guangha Communication (300711)_Company Announcements_Guangha Communication: CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. 2026 Interim Follow-up Report on Guangzhou Guangha Communication Co., Ltd._Sina Finance
- Guangha Communication (300711)_Company Announcements_Guangha Communication: Announcement on Using Raised Funds to Increase Capital of a Subsidiary for Implementation of a Fund-Raising Project_Sina Finance
- Guangha Communication (300711)_Company Announcements_Guangha Communication: 2026 Interim Report_Sina Finance
- Guangha Communication (300711)_Company Announcements_Guangha Communication: Special Report on the Deposit, Management, and Use of Raised Funds in the First Half of 2026_Sina Finance
- Securities Code: 300711 Securities Abbreviation: Guangha Communication Announcement No.: 2026-004
- Changes in Guangha Communication's Top 10 Tradable Shareholders: Goldman Sachs International—Own Funds Enters, Broad Growth Zhihang Equity A Exits, Northbound Funds Reduce Holdings_Sina Finance
- Guangha Communication (300711)_Company Announcements_Guangha Communication: 2026 Interim Report_Sina Finance
- Guangha Communication_Individual Stock Calendar_Eastmoney Data Channel
- Guangha Communication: Announcement on Progress of External Investment_10jqka Finance
- ZQ22B078-HF
- Guangha Communication (300711) Historical Stock Data: Historical Quotes, Prices, and Charts_Investing.com
- Guangha Communication (300711)—Historical Trading Data | DabanKe
- Guangha Communication (300711) Technical Analysis, Forecast, and Trading Recommendations_Investing.com
- Guangha Communication 300711 Stock DDX Real-Time Capital-Flow Trends, Main-Force Capital Flows, DDX, DDY, DDZ Intraday Data_DDX Query
- Guangha Communication (300711) Stock Analysis_Niucha Stock Diagnosis_10jqka Finance
- Guangha Communication (300711)—Historical Trading Data | DabanKe
- Guangha Communication (300711) Latest Developments_F10_10jqka Financial Services
This report was automatically retrieved, compiled, and generated by AI based on publicly available information. Information is current as of the September 11, 2026 close; some market-data pages are delayed, and actual trading data shall be subject to exchange data. Differences in timeliness may exist. Specific data should be based on the company's formal announcements and authoritative data terminals. This report is for information compilation and research reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make independent judgments and assume their own investment risks.
Fair-value range, DCF / industry models, comparable-company checks, confidence and key assumptions