中文

IF — THEN · Causal Impact Research

If this happens,
what does it affect next?

Start from a clue or an article, confirm the premise we understood, then unpack the impact across macro, supply chain, company financials and securities.

1 Submit a clue

One sentence, or a web link

You can type “If copper prices keep rising 20%”, or paste the URL of a news story, filing or research article.

Step 1 is free Extracting a clue or reading a page costs nothing, up to 10 a day.
Step 2 is priced by visibility Sharing to the Square costs 3 credits, keeping it private costs 5 credits. You're only charged once you confirm the clue and start the impact analysis; a failed run is refunded automatically.

Only public page content is read; pages that require login, PDFs, images and downloadable files aren't supported yet. Results are not investment advice.

2 Confirm, then analyze
Extract

Understand the clue

The page body is extracted first, separating facts from reporting, opinion, rumor and pure hypotheticals.

Confirm

You finalize it

We show a summary, key facts and ambiguities; you can edit the core clue before confirming.

Analyze

Build the causal chain

Covers macro, supply chain, company financials, affected securities, counter-evidence and invalidation conditions.