中文
Stockinsky

Valuation model library · Understand the method and its limits

Classic investor frameworks · Intrinsic value

Fuller-Hsia · H-Model

Within the dividend discount framework, assumes growth fades linearly from a high initial rate to a perpetual rate, approximating the two-stage model with a closed-form solution and avoiding valuation jumps from abrupt growth changes.

Guide level
Practical
Output
Intrinsic value
What question does this model answer?If today's high growth fades smoothly to a perpetual rate, what is the stock worth now?

Core formula

Value = [D₀(1 + gₙ) + D₀·H·(gₐ − gₙ)] / (r − gₙ), with H = half the high-growth period

How to interpret it

Within the dividend discount framework, assumes growth fades linearly from a high initial rate to a perpetual rate, approximating the two-stage model with a closed-form solution and avoiding valuation jumps from abrupt growth changes.

The output should be read as a scenario or decision aid, not as a guaranteed price target. Compare it with at least one method based on different economic assumptions.

Practical workflow

  1. Normalize the latest public financial and operating data.
  2. Choose assumptions that match the company's economics and accounting structure.
  3. Calculate conservative, base and optimistic cases where the method permits.
  4. Compare the result with market pricing and an independent valuation method.
  5. Document the assumptions that drive the largest changes in value.

Key limitation

An approximation of the two-stage model; accuracy drops when the initial and terminal growth rates diverge sharply.

How Stockinsky uses it

Stockinsky uses this framework only when the company type and available data support it. Professional valuations expose assumptions, sources and warnings instead of presenting false precision.

References

Valuation outputs depend on public data and explicit assumptions. They cannot guarantee forecast accuracy and are not investment advice.